I used to fall into that identical trap with my local football club every Saturday, convinced that my personal optimism and loyalty could somehow influence the actual reality on the pitch, which is just classic wishful thinking. When we back our favorite clubs, our brains completely filter out bad news like training ground injuries, locker room drama, or terrible head-to-head records because we are subconsciously seeking validation for our devotion rather than looking at the cold, hard numbers. It turns a regular hobby into a stressful loyalty test where you feel guilty if you don't back your boys, and you can see a fantastic analysis of how this specific fanatic mentality clouds our cognitive judgment by reading the breakdown at https://probangla.com/betting-on-your-favorite-team/ which really helped me understand my own bad habits. My personal solution to break this vicious cycle was to start a separate tracking spreadsheet where I am only allowed to look at leagues I have absolutely no personal interest in, like the Japanese or Scandinavian divisions. Stripping away the emotional connection makes it much easier to spot value in the numbers, and it actually allows me to just sit back and enjoy my own team's matches on television as a pure fan without any added financial stress.